Fair Play Committee Members

Bulls7210, Jweatherman, Rds_lsu, Ttnorm and Quebec.

Commissioner: Harkov

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Welcome New Owners

2017 season welcomes four new owners and one old one, errr, one previous owner. This season the AL adds Allsox, ericbergson, pjrobb, goochks and olemiss33. Allsox has the most experience of the five and SO49 welcomes its first rookie (olemiss33) to the league in over 10 years. A brief rundown on the new owners.

Seasons: 76
Wins: 6400+
Division Titles: 24
WS Titles: 2

Seasons: 36
Wins: 2900+
Division Titles: 8
WS Titles: 0

Sioux Falls
Sioux Falls Canaries (AL)
View Hardball Dynasty Profile

Seasons: 17
Wins: 1400
Division Titles: 3
WS Titles: 0

Houston We Have A Problem (AL)
View Hardball Dynasty Profile

Seasons: 5
Wins: 350+
Division Titles: 1
WS Titles: 0

Seasons: 0
Wins: 0
Division Titles: 0
WS Titles: 0

There you have it. Let's welcome in the new owners and at the sound of the bell, come out fighting.

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Replacement Level Ratings- Year End Edition

So now that the regular season is over I computed the numbers for most valuable player per position group. I'm not estimating these numbers because I've got actual statistics, just not what my estimations had for players.

Replacement level was set at (AVG, OBP, SLG)
Catcher: .232/.304/.364
1B/COF/DH: .235/.303/.419
MIF/3B/CF: .226/.293/.373

Top 10 Catchers:

Julio Polanco (OK) 62.37
Gerald Williams (RIC) 59.21
Oswaldo Santayana (OTT) 57.18
Rafael Martin (CHA) 55.65
Pedro Vega (KC) 51.23
Quinn Smith (ROC) 50.02
Bronson Hawkins (LV) 45.86
Alex Sanchez (LOU) 45.67
Mateo Medrano (SLC) 43.57
Gus Cora (CHR) 43.32

Top 10 1B/COF/DH

Gregory Scott (NO) 101.38
Vic Tejada (NAS) 91.28
Peter Dong (RIC) 84.97
Bill Piper (KC) 74.48
Nick Regan (BOS) 72.22
Jeff Jennings (HON) 71.80
Jolbert Telemaco (PAW) 69.34
Brett Munoz (LR) 67.23
Clinton Lindsey (LV) 66.79
Don Wilkins (PAW) 66.30


Walt Brown (HON) 104.98
Dave Phillips (PAW) 102.23
Vic Gil (DOV) 85.08
Crash Hermanson (BOS) 83.81
Julio Segui (SWB) 81.86
Guillermo Estrada (BUR) 77.28
Trevor Moreno (BOS) 72.91
Chun-Lim Wang (LV) 64.98
Dan Franco (TOR) 63.66
Quilvio Cortes (DOV) 63.02

The numbers again are how many runs the player added compared to what an average team would be expected to score. More specifically the amount of runs they would add compared to a REPLACEMENT LEVEL player(which was defined above) would be expected to contribute. So that is why you see a couple MIF type guys have a lot of runs added. They put up 1B/COF numbers while being able to play a more demanding defensive position. Also these are just offensive statistics, so they don't look at how many runs a player might have given up because his defense was lousy(cough Crash Hermanson).

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Division Rankings- All-Star Game Edition- 2016

NL North +29
NL South +18
AL East +10
NL East +6
AL West +4
AL North -4
AL South -7
NL West -56

Thursday, August 19, 2010

Division Rankings- 40 Game Edition- 2016

Here are the division power rankings for the first quarter of the season. Divisions are ranked in order of wins above 500. They are as follows:

NL East +13
NL South +7
NL North +3
AL South +3
AL East +2
AL West -1
AL North -4
NL West -23

Monday, August 9, 2010

ML Franchise Rankings- Season 15

Here are the current franchise rankings for the seasons completed. This takes into consideration the franchise's results for the past 15 seasons and applies a numerical value for each season. I then add all seasons together to come up with the final score. Bonus points are awarded for playoffs made, division titles, WS made and WS wins.

Teams Score

Texas 227.0
Syracuse 133.5
Richmond 119.0
Burlington 114.0
Honolulu 108.0
Ottawa 106.5
Charleston 104.0
New York 94.5
St. Louis 93.5
Detroit 92.0
Toronto 86.0
Las Vegas 80.0
Dover 78.5
New Orleans 77.0
Fresno 74.0
San Francisco 64.0
Portland 63.5
Louisville 63.0
Kansas City 61.5
Nashville 60.5
Pawtucket 59.0
Scranton 57.0
Boston 56.0
Oklahoma City 54.5
Little Rock 48.0
Charlotte 44.0
Cincinnati 43.5
Salt Lake City 42.0
Rochester 38.5
Cleveland 37.5
Chicago 37.0
Vancouver 32.0

Tuesday, August 3, 2010

AL West Preview- 2016

AL West

Honolulu Dashboard Hula Dolls

jweatherman (10th season w/ club, 15th overall)

Last Season 96-66 (1st)

Key Additions: OF Phil Murphy (Trade – Fresno), P Ron Perry (FA)

Key Subtractions: OF Bruce Boucher (FA), P Edwards Beech (FA), P Edgardo Vincente (Trade – Fresno), P Leonardo Hume (FA)

Projected Starters

C – Damian Yoshii (.273, 11, 36)

1B – Jeff Jennings (.317, 38, 135)

2B – Walt Brown* (.331, 40, 113, 38 SB)

3B – Guillermo Nunez (.280, 33, 99, 20 SB)

SS – Alvin Standridge (.249, 45, 120)

LF – Scott Springer (.317, 23, 68, 50 SB)

CF – Eddie Henderson (.254, 5, 48)

RF – Phil Murphy (.315, 50, 138)

DH – Hub McNamara (.278, 32, 89)

Key Pitchers

SP – Eddie Baker (13-15, 4.39, 1.42)

SP – Ron Perry (14-10, 3.91, 1.37)

SP – Orlando Castilla (10-10, 4.67, 1.50)

RP – Dave Griffith (6-4, 3.99, 1.22)

CL – Norman Gordon (2-3, 35 SV, 3.02, 1.34)

S16 Outlook:

The Dashboard Hula Dolls limp into S16 after a disappointing first round exit in last season’s playoffs. A pitching staff that was more than shaky last season will be under a magnifying glass – particularly after the loss of S15’s only reliable starter, Edwards Beech, to FA. Veteran FA acquisition Ron Perry will try to live up to the hype that actually got a franchise named after him and one of Summer of ‘49’s all-time workhorses, Eddie Baker, should surpass the 200-win plateau.

Offensively, the addition of NL MVP candidate Phil Murphy bolsters what is already a team strength – beating the crap out of the ball. The DHDs will miss perennial MVP candidate Walt Brown for the first month of the season.

If the pitching staff performs, they win 100. If they pitch like its S15 again, they win 90.

Prediction: 93-69 (1st)

Vancouver Wanachi

TXLnghrn (3rd season)

Last Season 77-85 (3rd)

Key Additions:IF Phillip Ransom (Trade – KC), IF Matty Campos (Waivers), P Mule Black (Trade – Fresno)

Key Subtractions: OF Javier Rosado (FA), SS Ricardo Candelaria (FA), JD Boyer (Trade – KC)

Projected Starters

C – Tsuyoshi Hasegawa (.272, 32, 92)

1B – Willie Chavez (.275, 34, 110)

2B – Phillip Ransom (.302, 24, 75, 25 SB)

3B – Tom Torres (.268, 33, 109)

SS – Hal Carasone (.302, 14, 70)

LF – Dustin Charlton (.273, 17, 97, 33 SB…AAA)

CF – Hector Valentine (.263, 1, 41, 39 SB)

RF – Sean Pulsipher (.306, 17, 78)

DH – Ricardo Lopez (.321, 32, 86)

Key Pitchers

SP – Mule Black (12-13, 4.47, 1.40)

SP – Carter Schofield (7-7, 5.23, 1.57)

SP – Murray O’Neil (19-9, 4.64, 1.43)

SP – Micah Morton (1-2, 13 SV, 3.09, 1.13)

RP – Rabbit Byrd (0-1, 20 SV, 4.61, 1.65)

S16 Outlook:

Vancouver adds a solid mix of veteran and youthful pitching to a staff that’s arguably the best in the division. Acquiring SP Mule Black could end up the best move in the AL if he can deliver a playoff season. Murray O’Neil looks to replicate last season’s success. The rest of the staff brings a truckload of potential.

Offensively, sluggers Willie Chavez, Tom Torres and Ricardo Lopez welcome a solid top-of-the-lineup guy in Phillip Ransom to join Sean Pulsipher. Big follow-up seasons from Tsuyhoshi Hasegawa and Hal Carasone are huge in determining this season’s success.

Some solid off-season moves equal improvement, but not quite enough for the playoffs.

Prediction: 86-76 (2nd)

Kansas City Masterpieces

Fantasy Frea (10th season)

Last Season 79-83 (2nd)

Key Additions: P JD Boyer (Trade – Van)

Key Subtractions: OF Raul Andujar (Trade – SLC), IF Phillip Ransom (Trade – Van), OF DaRond Neal (FA), P Pascual Frias (FA)

Projected Starters

C – Pedro Vega (.343, 21, 102)

1B – Ralph Dixon (.292, 20, 83)

2B – Toby DiFelice (.340, 29, 113…AAA)

3B – Adrian Burroughs (.349, 14, 57)

SS – Dustin Wolcott (.326, 13, 98)

LF – Benny Alfonseca (.284, 16, 77)

CF – Dave Offerman (.271, 16, 77, 28 SB)

RF – Bill Piper (.318, 43, 141, 36 SB)

DH – Gordon Hines (.265, 29, 87)

Key Pitchers

SP – Fred Daal (11-15, 6.14, 1.63)

SP – JD Boyer (13-14, 4.49, 1.34)

SP – Omar Molina (14-10, 5.69, 1.64)

RP – Kirt Woolf (2-8, 14 SV, 4.81, 1.58)

RP – Mac Pearson (13-7, 3 SV, 4.28, 1.37)

S16 Outlook:

The Masterpieces were anything but last season after their impressive run in S14. A solid offense returns several key cogs. CF Dave Offerman is a budding star. He’s joined in the lineup by monster Bill Piper, doubles machine Ralph Dixon, and one of Summer of 49’s best offensive catchers in Pedro Vega.

JD Boyer was added from Vancouver to bolster the starting staff. Youngster Fred Daal must bounce back from a rough S15 and the Pieces must get consistent work from Omar Molina and a slew of young arms to make a run at a playoff berth. Reliever Kirt Woolf and Mac Pearson are solid multi-purpose guys who need to find a little help in the pen.

In the end, I think they’ll be a couple arms short of a run at the playoffs.

Prediction: 75-87 (3rd)

Las Vegas Sand Dollars (formerly Boise Mashers)

bradheld (6th season)

Last Season 66-96 (4th)

Key Additions: 1B Clinton Lindsay (FA), P Louie Neruda (FA)

Key Subtractions: UTIL Ken Pritchett (FA), P Hugh Catalanotto (FA)

Projected Starters

C – RJ Jacquez (.229, 20, 58)

1B – Clinton Lindsay (.304, 28, 114)

2B – Bobby Griffin (.264, 8, 60, 47 SB)

3B – Carl Brennaman (.245, 4, 20)

SS – Chun-Lim Wang (.277, 29, 115)

LF – Dean Crawford (.269, 22, 83, 38 SB)

CF – Jose Montanez (.252, 11, 44)

RF – Craig Quinn (.306, 12, 56, 32 SB)

DH – Ryan Ruffin (.279, 23, 80)

Key Pitchers

SP – Louie Neruda (14-7, 5.27, 1.45)

SP – Douglas Satterwhite (8-15, 6.16, 1.52)

SP – Alex Roque (11-11, 1 SV, 4.00, 1.31)

RP – Luis Wilfredo (0-0, 4.63, 1.34)

CL – Miguel Nunez ( 2-10, 30 SV, 5.21, 1.78)

S16 Outlook:

A move to Sin City might just be what the doctor ordered for the former Spuds. It’ll definitely increase interest in road trips to play the Sand Dollars!

Bradheld should show off a much improved lineup – thanks in part to the signing of FA 1B Clinton Lindsay providing stability in the middle of the order. More pop is needed for the Dollars to make noise in the division, but the pieces are starting to come together.

Louie Neruda was signed to be the ace of the staff that includes talented youngsters Douglas Satterwhite and Tyson Schneider. Alex Roque, Summer of 49’s answer to Jamie Moyer, just keeps on putting up solid numbers.

Luis Wilfredo and Miguel Santana provide a little help in the pen. Miguel Nunez better watch his back before he loses his closer job.

Overall, there are too many improvements to make this off-season to talk of moving out of the division basement, but they’re edging closer.

Prediction: 65-97 (4th)

AL South Preview- 2016

AL South

Charleton Of Bricks

jsreilly (16th season)

Last Season 98-64 (1st)

Key Additions: C Bud Johnston (Trade – Roc), C Gus Cora (FA)

Key Subtractions: None

Projected Starters

C – Bud Johnston (.307, 34, 97)

1B – Alberto Nieves (.303, 21, 74)

2B – Patrick Hutchinson (.274, 31, 94)

3B – Brendan Springer (.266, 26, 68)

SS – Torii Clinton (.247, 16, 78, 28 SB)

LF – Jimmie Alonso (.293, 40, 107)

CF – Buck Stephens (.254, 8, 54, 38 SB)

RF – Shayne Sinclair (.278, 25, 66)

DH – Calvin Bruske (.254, 23, 59)

Key Pitchers

SP – Rick Benson (16-9, 3.45, 1.13)

SP – Marvin Jefferies (13-9, 3.52, 1.30)

SP – Thomas Strange (18-6, 2.69, .95)

SP – Red Roosevelt (12-9, 4.71, 1.35)

RP – Walter Krause (4-7, 34 SV, 3.08, 1.16)

S16 Outlook:

The epic battle rages on for supremacy in the South – consistently the toughest division in Summer of 49’s American League. The defending champion Of Bricks bring back all the pieces that won them 98 games last season and add a big-time bat in Bud Johnston.

A top notch pitching staff boasts four top-of-rotation starters (Benson, Jefferies, Strange and Roosevelt) and an eclectic bullpen that gets the job done.

In another hard-fought battle with Richmond, the Of Bricks will sneak away with the division and a first round bye.

Prediction: 101-61 (1st)

Richmond Rebels

steelerstime (11th season)

Last Season 94-68 (2nd)

Key Additions: P AJ Brunson (FA), C Tomas Borbon (FA)

Key Subtractions: 2B Dann Cone (FA), P Louie Neruda (FA), P Walker Jennings (Trade – STL)

Projected Starters

C – Gerald Williams (.252, 25, 73)

1B – Peter Dong (.314, 47, 104)

2B – RJ Lira (.274, 21, 87)

3B – Glenn Holdridge (.254, 36, 101)

SS – Corky Bowman (.254, 38, 86)

LF – Geraldo Lee (.298, 42, 109)

CF – Jay Parris (.273, 4, 25)

RF – Che Lim (.261, 35, 101, 25 SB)

DH – Frank McInerney (.323, 26, 91)

Key Pitchers

SP – Cliff Gunderson (10-7, 4.58, 1.53)

SP – Bruce Schofield (15-6, 3.72, 1.48)

SP – Miguel Reynoso (7-5, 4.02, 1.33)

RP – Terrell Kershner (2-5, 4.19, 1.21)

RP – Jeremy Weston (0-3, 36 SV, 3.47, 1.11)

S16 Outlook:

If you like offense, stop by The Diamond in Richmond and tell steelerstime “what up?”. The Rebels return nearly everyone from a stacked order including four 100-RBI guys. That doesn’t include DH Frank McInerney who drove in 91 in just over 100 games or slugging SS Corky Bowman. Position-by-position, this lineup competes with any team in this world of fake baseball.

The pitching staff is led by starter Bruce Schofield and relievers Terrell Kershner and Jeremy Weston. Assuming they get reasonable pitching from starters 3-5 it’ll be another playoff season for the Rebs…where they’ll probably knock me out of the playoffs again.

Prediction: 98-64 (2nd)

Little Rock Inbreds

gman31617 (2nd season)

Last Season: 92-70 (3rd)

Key Additions: None

Key Subtractions: P Ron Perry (FA)

Projected Starters

C – James Basile (.285, 12, 72)

1B – Brett Munoz (.358, 60, 150)

2B – Gene Fox (.303, 29, 86)

3B – Angel Carrara (.246, 23, 68)

SS – Elston Service (.257, 14, 41)

LF – Mark Moseley (.253, 47, 112)

CF – Wilbur Jarvis (.238, 3, 34, 30 SB)

RF – Erick Mullin (.302, 42, 122, 23 SB)

DH – RJ Navarro (.308, 19, 84)

Key Pitchers

SP – Horacio Martinez (12-5, 3.19, 1.32)

SP – JJ Gibbs (12-5, 4.61, 1.47)

SP – Al Martin (13-7, 3.86, 1.45)

RP – Howie Beckham (9-3, 7 SV, 4.01, 1.40)

CL – Darwin Green (1-9, 29 SV, 6.57, 1.27)

S16 Outlook:

Coming off a 92-win, wildcard season prospects are high for Little Rock. They return a talented offense led by S15 MVP Brett Munoz. Erick Mullin was a prize FA pickup last season for gman and he’ll team up with RJ Navarro, Mark Moseley, Gene Fox and James Basile to insure there’s never an easy trip through the lineup for opposing pitching.

The Inbreds boast 3 very solid starters in Horacio Martinez, JJ Gibbs and Al Martin, but let franchise wins leader Ron Perry flee through free agency. The bullpen has ratings, but didn’t provide the results last season. That’s not a good quality in the AL’s Division of Death.

In the end, they’ll put together another good season but miss the playoffs by tie-breaker.

Prediction: 88-74 (3rd)

Texas Dodgers (formerly Texas Tulsa Hawks)

mikesons1973 (1st season)

Last Season 85-77 (4th)

Key Additions: OF Jack Harris (Waivers), P Freddie Swindell (FA), P Tony Vaughn (FA), 2B Don Li (FA), C Gil Youkilis (FA)

Key Subtractions: P Brady Tallet (Trade – Tor), 2B Francisco Espinosa (Released), 3B Matt Kolb (Released), P Russell Matheny (Released), P Pat Yamamoto (FA), IF Luis Gonzalez (FA), C Gus Cora (FA)

Projected Starters

C – Gil Youkilis (.283, 17, 55)

1B – Diego Moya (.290, 34, 108)

2B – Don Li (.302, 1, 43, 29 SB…AA)

3B – Al Mercado (.267, 23, 86)

SS – Patrick Gordon (,249, 13, 62)

LF – Jack Harris (.312, 14, 76…AAA)

CF – Benny Baerga (.294, 46, 128, 37 SB)

RF – Shawn Swindell (.278, 20, 73)

DH – Aaron Gross (.237, 0, 5)

Key Pitchers

SP – Joshua Harrison (14-8, 5.52, 1.62)

SP – Darwin Rhodes (11-11, 4.73, 1.44)

SP – Bingo Valdes (13-9, 5.27, 1.55)

SP – Freddie Swindell (9-7, 4.13, 1.36)

RP – Tony Vaughn (5-5, 25 SV, 5.48, 1.45)

S16 Outlook:

Rebuilding is often hard to watch.

Rebuilding is even harder to watch in this division.

Mikesons1973 is giving the Dodgers a full roster makeover and let fly many of the former regime’s key veterans. Keep an eye on CF Benny Baerga and 1B Diego Moya come midseason. They’re two of the prime trade chips out there and could land the Dodgers a couple big prospects near the Deadline.

I expect this roster to continually change as the rebuild process commences. That probably means 100 losses.

Prediction: 62-100 (4th)

AL East Preview-2016

AL East

Pawtucket Privateers

harkov (16th season)

Last Season 100-62 (1st)

Key Additions: P Jesse Holliday (FA),

Key Subtractions: P Harry Valenzuela (FA), OF Sun Abe (Waivers)

Projected Starters

C – PT Brow (.278, 10, 39)

1B – Ivan Trevino (.313, 12, 70)

2B – Dave Phillips (.284, 40, 120, 29 SB)

3B – Raul Guerrero (.331, 32, 105, 23 SB)

SS – Bronson Kim (.255, 22, 80)

LF – Matt Little (.275, 24, 82)

CF – Pablo Mercado (.276, 19, 89)

RF – Butch Davis (.309, 17, 58)

DH – Don Wilkins (.293, 27, 81)

Key Pitchers

SP – Chris Costello (17-8, 3.71, 1.31)

SP – Larry Franklin (16-8, 4.81, 1.37)

SP – Kordell Forbes (19-6, 3.24, 1.12)

RP – Hee Chang (2-1, 2.36, 1.19)

RP – Dennys Chang (0-2, 40 SV, 2.37, .91)

S16 Outlook:

I actually vomited a little when I reviewed this roster.

Its almost unfair when a projected lineup doesn’t even leave space for slugger Jolbert Telemaco, but that’s the case in Pawtucket. The Fighting Harkovs showcase talent all over the diamond. 2B Dave Phillips is a perennial MVP candidate and 3B Raul Guerrero has put together a silent and spectacular career. Watch out for rookie outfield Butch Davis – who is my pick as “Next Big Thing.”

A pitching staff that features 3 top tier starters – all under 30 years old – returns everyone. The Privateer bullpen, aka Chinatown, is highlighted by the Changs – Dennys and Hee.

Pawtucket will have enough juice and the right schedule to hold the pole position come playoff time. Will they capitalize and make their first WS appearance?

Prediction: 103-59 (1st)

Charlotte Chokers

willemijn (14th season)

Last Season 78-84 (2nd)

Key Additions: P Barry Hall (FA), C Yamil Sosa (FA), P Felipe Solano (FA), P Willie Tatis (FA), P Carlos DeSoto (FA)

Key Subtractions: C Bing Adams (FA), OF Julian West (FA), 3B/OF Willard Richards (FA)

Projected Starters

C – Ross Griffey (.259, 6, 27)

1B – Albert Moreno (.248, 6, 64)

2B – Andrea Kerr (.272, 22, 90)

3B – Adam Boyd (.265, 17, 78)

SS – Babe Ryan (.266, 9, 59)

LF – Keith Patrick (.296, 22, 94, 66 SB)

CF – Mateo Maduro (.279, 7, 29)

RF – Charles Miyakazi (.282, 25, 89)

DH – Rafael Martin (.276, 19, 83)

Key Pitchers

SP – Charles Wright (10-7, 4.61, 1.31)

SP – Danny Borbon (13-7, 5.26, 1.38)

SP – David Galvez (11.-4, 4.05, 1.12)

P – Barry Hall (9-6, 2.72, 1.19)

RP – Yannick Eaton (0-5, 23 SV, 4.38, 1.49

S16 Outlook:

Charlotte (which used to be Boston…which now plays Boston in its division…which is confusing the hell out of me) owner willemijn did a great job addressing the Chokers pitching woes in the off-season. The additions of Barry Hall, Felipe Solano, Willie Tatis and Carlos DeSoto could reap big dividends.

Unfortunately, while improving the pitching staff the Chokers said “goodbye” to two mashers in C Bing Adams and 3B/OF Willard Richards who’s big bats will be missed. Keith Patrick is my new favorite offensive player in the league. He’s a speed burner who hits .300 and can drive in 100.

The Chokers are improving but aren’t being done any favors sharing a division with Pawtucket. Another 2nd place finish is in their future.

Prediction: 74-88 (2nd)

Boston BearSharks (formerly Columbus Hammers)

lccooler (1st season)

Last Season 65-97 (3rd)

Key Additions: P Wilfredo Lugo (FA), P Kennie Moss (FA), P Joey Romero (FA), P Hugh Catalanotto (FA), P Rodrigo Seanez (FA), OF Bert Hughes (Trade – NY)

Key Subtractions: SS Albert McGowan (FA), P Harry Uribe (FA), P Raymond Kelly (FA)

Projected Starters

C – John Chang (.266, 20, 98)

1B – Nick Regan (.274, 51, 131)

2B – Trevor Moreno (.277, 28, 103, 29 SB)

3B – Matty Javier (.233, 11, 52)

SS – Crash Hermanson (.313, 33, 108…AA/HiA)

LF – Hootie Bennett (.294, 46, 145…AAA)

CF – Fausto Martinez (.252, 14, 46, 22 SB)

RF – Bert Hughes (.243, 4, 19)

DH – Pedro De La Vega (.299, 17, 57)

Key Pitchers

SP – Geoff Lawrence (9-18, 5.19, 1.52)

SP – Kennie Moss (6-8, 5.96, 1.73)

SP – Esteban Borges (6-14, 4.89, 1.48)

RP – Billy Ratliff (6-2, 5 SV, 3.50, 1.08)

CL – Wilfredo Lugo (5-3, 37 SV, 2.17, 1.00)

S16 Outlook:

No team has been more active in the off-season (in the AL, at least) than the new kids – the Boston BearSharks. This year’s pitching staff will be greatly improved as they return uber-talented Geoff Lawrence and solid lefty Esteban Borges and add starters Kennie Moss, Hugh Catalanotto, Joey Romero and Rodrigo Seanez. The holy grail of the free agent market, closer Wilfredo Lugo, also settled on becoming a BearShark…whatever the hell that is.

Lccooler’s first lineup will include a plethora of young position prospects. Will guys like OF Hootie Bennett and SS Crash Hermanson live up to the hype? Will they continue to improve?

The young guys should play well enough and the pitching staff should account for a few more wins on their own. In another season or two, the BearSharks will be a force

Prediction: 73-89 (3rd)

Rochester Rockin Robins

eclipse33 (2nd season)

Last Season 59-103 (4th)

Key Additions: None

Key Subtractions: DH Bud Johnston (Trade – CHR), P Damian Inouoe (Trade – SLC)

Projected Starters

C – Quinn Smith (.285, 10, 33)

1B – Malcolm Adams (.286, 7, 43)

2B – Moises Rosario (.296, 14, 57)

3B – Calvin Uchida (.270, 13, 70, 29 SB)

SS – Mateo Johnson (.254, 6, 49)

LF – Sun Abe (.283, 8, 27)

CF – Groucho Richardson (.262, 10, 68, 20 SB)

RF – Matt Weatherford (.295, 12, 65…AAA)

DH – Louis Wagner (.279, 35, 109…AA)

Key Pitchers

SP – Albert White (6-19, 5.59, 1.58)

SP – Greg Murray (13-14, 5.49, 1.56)

SP – Geraldo Borbon (10-16, 4.65, 1.35)

RP – Desi Vazquez (0-7, 1 SV, 4.64, 1.41)

RP – Adrian Jordan (1-2, 10 SV, 2.48, .93

S16 Outlook:

The Rockin’ Robins are coming off a 59 win season and prospects don’t look good to improve that win total this season.

Eclipse33 moved a couple big leaguers this off-season in exchange for prospects to piece together in a couple seasons with current ML youngsters. OF Groucho Richardson and 3B Calvin Uchida have high ceilings and starters Greg Murray and Geraldo Borbon should be serviceable.

Patience is a virtue in this case, so at season’s end the Robins’ season won’t be judged on wins and losses, but on what talented pieces they’ve added to the organization.

Prediction: 54-108 (4th)

AL North Preview- 2016

AL North

Dover ‘Necks

wilhitec (12th season)

Last Season 94-68 (1st)

Key Additions: SS Ricardo Candelaria (FA)

Key Subtractions: none

Projected Starters:

C – Doug Darnell (.275, 18, 50)

1B – Robinson Washington (.279, 41, 121)

2B – Phillip Simmons (.265, 19, 82)

3B – Vic Gil (.249, 43, 98)

SS – Ricardo Candelaria (.267, 6, 27)

LF – Fred Blowers (.323, 9, 78, 49 SB)

CF – Del Jiang (.288, 10, 51, 35 SB)

RF – Russell Piper (.317, 34, 109)

DH – Shaggy Brown (.321, 35, 110)

Key Pitchers

SP – Russ Jerchower (16-11, 3.60, 1.30)

SP – Ryan Nelson (14-13, 4.66, 1.43)

SP – Vince Morgan (11-9, 4.84, 1.48)

RP – Phil Matsumoto (3-1, 3 SV, 4.93, 1.38)

CL – Cy Voyles (5-3, 41 SV, 1.51, .97)

*162 IP min for ERA and WHIP leaders

S16 Outlook:

All the key cogs return for the surging ‘Necks. Wilhitec brings back a powerful lineup led by slugging 100-RBI producers Robinson Washington, Russell Piper and Shaggy Brown. Fred Blowers comes off a surprising rookie season where he led the club in BA and SB.

A young bullpen is led by closer Cy Voyles. The rotation is solid 1-4 led by vets Ryan Nelson and Russ Jerchower (who will forever be pelted by coconuts on road trips to Honolulu after bolting for a max contract prior to S15).

The ‘Necks have built a strong foundation from within and expect to be among the top teams in the AL for the foreseeable future.

Prediction: 94-68 (1st)

Detroit Domination

petec (12th season)

Last Season 86-76 (2nd)

Key Additions:none

Key Subtractions: OF Butch Neill (FA), P Dmitri Hull

Projected Starters

C – Walt Nunnally (.304, 16, 50)

1B – Jon Price (.310, 34, 84)

2B – Don Mercer (.272, 15, 57)

3B – Jumbo Moya (.257, 29, 79)

SS – Rafael Gomez (.230, 8, 46)

LF – Randy Tollberg (.263, 32, 113)

CF – Paul Stankiewicz (.268, 19, 90)

RF – BC Tatis (.269, 24, 70)

DH – Stone Curtis (.336, 10, 37)

Key Pitchers

SP – David Polanco (14-9, 3.05, 1.16)

SP – Harry Heath (8-11, 4.05, 1.36)

SP – Andrew Coggin (12-11, 4.98, 1.47)

RP – Brant Lowry (10-7, 29 SV, 2.34, .95)

RP – Jason Montgomery (6-2, 3.60, 1.32)

S16 Outlook:

Rarely is The Dominator absent from the playoffs, but S16 leaves the Domination wanting to get back to the post-season.

Future HOFer Jon Price leads a lineup with plenty of pop. Versatile Jumbo Moya and OFs Randy Tollberg and BC Tatis provide additional run support. The Domination routinely trot out a top-notch defense and this season should be no different.Can they find a way to get slugger Russell Bierbrodt onto the field?

Pitching is either feast or famine for the Domination. David Polanco continues to lead the a reliable staff that includes Harry Heath and Andrew Coggin – who after a rough Spring Training is getting back in shape for the season opener. Brant Lowry continues to be one of the AL’s most dominant relievers.

Unless they get more consistent offense and back of the rotation pitching, the Domination will increase the win total but fall just short of the division title..

Prediction: 88-74 (2nd)

Chicago Crme (formerly Toledo Mudhens)

dustintwise (1st season)

Last Season 65-97 (4th)

Key Additions: P Ernie Alexander (Trade – Fresno), P Dante Edmonds (Trade – Fresno), 1B Russell Mercedes (Trade – Fresno)

Key Subtractions: IF Valerio Cornejo, SS Dom Wathan, OF Darron Beltre, P Jonathan Campbell, P David Mecir, P Ryan Pose

Projected Starters

C – Cy Keats (.266, 28, 82)

1B – Ernest Dougherty (.324, 26, 82)

2B – Harold Cox (.246, 14, 67)

3B – Vic Acevedo (.295, 12, 66)

SS – Rafael Bravo (.306, 14, 54…HiA)

LF – Rafael Castro (.245, 4, 26)

CF – Neifi Torrealba (.268, 8, 50)

RF – Alex Martin (.274, 20, 90)

DH – Bob Newsome (.271, 12, 36)

Key Pitchers

SP – Ernie Alexander (9-16, 4.27, 1.34)

SP – Brad Adams (8-13, 5.40, 1.59)

SP – Dante Edmonds (8-18, 5.72, 1.58)

RP – Bip Stieb (4-3, 18 SV, 2.90, 1.13)

RP – Willie Mercado (6-3, 1 SV, 3.60, 1.39)

S16 Outlook:

Looking for a darkhorse in the AL this year? No…well, I’ll give you one anyway – the Chicago Crime.

Dustintwise pulled off a big trade with Fresno this off-season to improve pitching. If Ernie Alexander and Dante Edmonds pitch to their ratings they’ll be a perfect compliments to veteran Brad Adams. Bip Stieb as very solid as S15’s closer. More pitching depth will be necessary to make a move on Dover and Detroit.

Offensively, the lineup is remniscent of my KC Royals - several guys who’ll get on base but lacking the big sticks to go deep and drive them in. 3B Vic Acevedo has to be that guy for the Crime-rate to skyrocket. No offense to C Cy Keats and 1B Ernest Dougherty who are very solid vets.

The new owner is just beginning the project of turning the Crime around. I expect a big jump in wins, but not enough to be playing in Pretend October.

Prediction: 78-84 (3rd)

Cleveland Apachies

gatorbum (2nd season)

Last Season 72-90 (3rd)

Key Additions: none

Key Subtractions: 1B Clinton Lindsey (FA), Einar Candelaria (FA), P Darin Ulrich, P Kennie Moss

Projected Starters

C – John Martin (.244, 8, 49)

1B – Dave Daal (.259, 19, 76)

2B – Miguel Diaz (.304, 38, 116)

3B – Bernard Hammond (.252, 10, 52)

SS – Tuck Bowen (.229, 9, 42)

LF – Trenidad Park (.255, 7, 42, 24 SB)

CF – Bono Battle (.329, 17, 95…AAA)

RF – Rob Sierra (.288, 40, 125…AAA)

DH – Alberto Jimenez (.304, 20, 71)

Key Pitchers

SP – Jose Guerrero (4-10, 2 SV, 5.31, 1.62)

SP – Matt Gordon (15-6, 4.27, 1.56)

SP – Mikey Torres (8-17, 6.28, 1.65)

RP – Roy Pall (1-3, 27 SV, 6.81, 1.83)

RP – Stan Martin (5-3, 3.70, 1.34)

S16 Outlook:

Second year owner gatorbum is doing some nice things in Cleveland. Although they Apachies didn’t make any big free agent signings or trades this off-season, they’ll still boast an interesting young lineup led by star 2B Miguel Diaz. Former 1st round pick Dave Daal needs to play up to his draft status, but young CF Bono Battle and DH Alberto Jimenez look ready to step into big roles in this offense.

The pitching staff is led by Matt Gordon (sidebar: who is the genius owner who drafted Gordon. That’s one smart, good-looking dude). Youngster Jose Guerrero who pitched both as a starter and reliever in S15 has the ratings to provide a breakout season. Stan Martin is excellent out of the pen, but needs some help. Overall, the staff doesn’t appear poised to hold up their end of the bargain.

The Apachies have to keep on truckin’ and adding pieces because their division is a little too tough for a breakthrough season this go round.

Prediction: 64-98 (4th)


So here is the list of the Top 10 MLV for C, 1B/COF/DH, and 2B/3B/SS/CF

For those un-aquantaited with sabermetrics, there is a great article, http://www.stathead.com/bbeng/woolner/mlvdesc.htm, about what it means. I could go into detail but I wouldn't do it justice.

These numbers are the amount of runs these players should expect to add to a league average team during their projected plate appearances. I'll have the top 5 catchers and top 10 1B/COF/DH and 2B/3B/SS/CF in the list.


1. Julio Polanco OK 49.7
2. Gerald Williams RIC 32.0
3. Rafael Martin CHA 31.4
4. Bronson Hawkins LV 29.3
5. Calvin Bruske CHR 28.7


1. Vic Tejada NAS 40.8
2. Peter Dong RIC 37.4
3. Luis Limon POR 34.1
4. Brett Munoz LR 33.8
5. Jeff Jennings HON 33.5
6. Deivi Tapies TOR 33.3
7. Nick Regan BOS 32.5
8. Jon Price DET 31.8
9. Shaggy Brown DOV 31.4
10. Yamid Encarnacion BUR 31.0


1. Walt Brown HOU 58.5
2. Miguel Diaz CLE 50.5
3. Dave Phillips PAW 48.0
4. Diego Alfonzo FRE 42.5
5. Pedro Rijo NO 38.8
6. Glenn Holdridge RIC 38.4
7. Phillip Ransom VC 37.54
8. Dean Aleander NAS 37.52
9. Haywood Twitchell BUR 36.4
10. Don Lee NO 36.0

There is a graph that goes along with the above results. If you are interested in that visual representation, contact lccooler and I'm sure he will be more than happy to send you a copy.

Thursday, January 21, 2010

Owner Interview- Jsreilly

Today’s interview is with another of the original owners of the Summer Of ’49 as I sit down with the Charleston Of Bricks owner JSReilly. While the team has always been located in Charleston they did change their name before season 10. This storied franchise has not been able to take home the World Series trophy yet but has finished above .500 in all but 2 seasons. So let’s get started.

JS, what area of the country do you live in?

I live in Chicago

What type of work do you do to finance the Charleston operation?

I run a market-neutral small-cap value investment strategy for a couple of clients

What is your favorite ML team?

I was a HUGE Mets fan growing up in NY but the Steve Phillips era sucked all of the life out my devotion. The last straw was the Mets signing of Tom Glavine, which made it easy to switch to the Chicago White Sox. I started going to Sox games in college because the stadium was close by, we could buy cheap upper deck seats and by the 5th inning could move down to sit 10 rows behind the dugout never getting carded for beer added to the attraction. I still have fond memories of summer nights at Shea as a kid but they lost me as a fan and I can't see myself ever switching back.

Do you prefer AL or NL style baseball?

I can't really say I have a true preference it just depends on the day you ask the question.

Who is your favorite ML player dead or alive? Why?

This is another question where my answer has changed over time. When I was a Met fan I would have told you Doc Gooden and Gary Carter were my favorite players. Now I would say that Ken Griffey Jr. and Joe Crede are the players I cheer for the loudest.

What got you to start playing HBD?

Like a lot of people in HBD I was originally an HD guy. When HBD was added I figured I would give it a try.

How long did it take before you felt confident in you knowledge to build a team?

With the complexity of this game the first couple of seasons were a learning experience but by season 3 I felt that I had a good grasp of the ratings system and what was needed to build a good team.

How did you decide on the location and name for your team?

I chose Charleston because my parents live there now. The name Charleston Of Bricks was an attempt (albeit poor) of being clever.

How much importance do you put on the draft & IFA’s?

I've always felt the draft was very important however it has gotten much tougher to find future Major Leaguers in the 2nd/3rd/4th rounds since they adjusted the way they calculate Overall Ratings and have changed the talent pool. Signing IFA's in this world has become very competitive so I started to shy away when the bidding wars escalated. The cost vs. reward just didn't seem to be that great a value a lot of the time.

Do you have a favorite HBD player and how did you acquire him?

I love all my fake players so it’s much easier to tell you my least favorite player all-time and in this world it would be Torri Redman.

Do you have a most memorable trade? Why?

It would probably be the Calvin Bruske/Matty Campos for Jose Montanez/Brady Simpson trade that I made with schuyler. It was after he had re-joined the league if memory serves me, we negotiated that one for around two weeks.

If you could change one thing about HBD what would it be?

Given the chance to change anything I believe minor league success should also be rewarded so I would put a system in place to do just that.

Thank you for taking the time away from your team to sit down for this interview, I appreciate it. Good luck this season.

Friday, January 15, 2010

AL Season 14- Preview


Detroit Domination (Last Yr 88-74)

The Domination has owned the division for the last eight seasons yet has only 2 LCS appearances and no WS appearances. Jon Price (41, 122, .377) put up MVP numbers, as 3 others contributed 30+ HR & 95+ RBI for one of the top offensive teams. Edwards Beech (17-7, 3.11) & Harry Heath (15-6, 3.27) are outstanding pitchers, the rest of the staff isn’t as talented and the lack of a shut down closer hurt this team’s playoff run. Detroit has decided to again play with the same hand which has worked in the past but it may be a dangerous strategy as the rest of the division has narrowed the gap.

Prediction: 87-75

Toledo Mudhens (74-88)

A 3rd straight last place finish has the Toledo fans looking for answers to questions like when will this team make the playoffs. Offense again was not the problem as a .275 team batting avg. will attest. Cy Keats (36, 98, .306) & Ernest Dougherty (32, 88, .312) lead the hit parade. On the other hand the pitching struggled with only 2 players reaching double digits in wins. After last seasons disappointing backslide the Mudhens decided to open the wallet and dive into the FA market. Was it enough to compete for 1st place? Probably not, however it now looks on paper that they have the components to leap into 2nd and at least cause Detroit some sleepless nights.

Prediction: 85-77

Dover ‘Necks (83-79)

The ‘Necks are good enough to finish over .500 however they haven’t been able to claim a playoff spot. Shaggy Brown (32, 124, .331) & Robinson Washinton (47, 123, .276) are among the best hitters in the league. The pitching staff is suspect with only 3 hurlers able to come up with sub 4 ERA’s and none of those were the arms in the starting rotation. Without any major changes Dover will again be on the outside looking in when playoff time rolls around.

Prediction: 82-80

Trenton Revolutionaries (84-78)

Another year, another 2nd place finish leaves Trenton wondering what it has to do to claim a division title. A .270 team batting avg., 7 players with 20+ HR shows there is enough firepower. However other than closer Roy Pall (38 sv, 3.04) the pitching staff could use some upgrading. The loss of Ralph Counsell will be felt however new parts were added in an attempt to end Detroit’s run a top the division. It should again be a race down to the wire but unlikely that this is the year Trenton will bring home the division crown.

Prediction: 82-80


Pawtucket Privateers (91-71)

The offensive firepower of the Privateers was never more evident than it was last season. The assault was lead by Erick Mullin (52, 136, .270) but there were big bats throughout the lineup as 4 other players hit at least 35 HR and 100 RBI. Other than Kordell Forbes (16-8, 3.70) & Larry Franklin (15-7, 3.75) the pitching didn’t have the same kind of impact. Pawtucket is still the team to beat yet that may change in the near future if the pitching staff doesn’t improve.

Prediction: 90-72

Charlotte Chokers (78-84)

Management decided that Charlotte would provide a better home for the Chokers while the fans of Boston have burned team apparel in the streets. It is yet to be seen if this team can continue to produce offensively as they did in their previous home. Willard Richards (47, 119, .273) is among the top bats that was not anxious to leave Boston. The pitching staff with the exception of closer Willie Mercado (35 sv, 2.72) should be thrilled to be out of beantown. To make a good impression on their new fan base the team plucked some hurlers from the FA pool. The question will be whether there is still any life left in those veteran arms.

Prediction: 79-83

Cincinnati Lebowskis (82-80)

For the past 4 seasons this team has alternated .500 and sub .500 finishes so it will be interesting to see if they can break this pattern. The loss of Alex Martin to free agency will hurt but Don Wilkins (40, 122, .330) & Malcolm Adams (28, 115, .316) will still continue as RBI machines. As the teams 5.01 ERA from last season shows it is an area of concern. The Lebowskis are coming off a good season but need to make changes to their pitching staff before they will be on the same level as the playoff contenders.

Prediction: 79-83

Columbus Hammers (67-95)

While the Hammers are 4 years removed from their last playoff appearance they did show improvement last year. Nick Regan (61 146, .290) & Willie Leon (55, 116 .242) provide the long ball threat for this team. On the mound Ray Wall & Glenn Spiezio had the best years for a staff that struggled all season. The team performed well with the talent available and short term stopgap players have been brought in until the farm supplies the necessary players.

Prediction: 67-95


Montgomery Daddies (93-69)

New ownership has taken over a team that has won 10 of the 13 division titles including last seasons. This team is in love with the long ball with a 50 HR player, (2) 40 HR guys and 3 others with 30 HR a season ago. So while most teams would be hurt by the loss of a couple of guys that hit 30 homers this team still has plenty of power. With a high power offense the pitching just needed to be solid and that was accomplished. Upgrading the pitching would be necessary to allow this team to go deeper in the playoffs. Several pitchers were signing from the FA market. Whether these seasoned vets are what this teams needs to again take them to the playoffs and challenge for the WS trophy will need to be determined.

Prediction: 91-71

Charleston of Bricks (92-70)

The Bricks made the playoffs however since winning the division with 108 wins in season 11 they have won fewer games each of the last 2 seasons. 5 players hit more than 30 homers and 3 had more than 95 RBI’s so offense isn’t a big concern. The pitching staff had 3 players surpass the 10 win plateau led by Joey Romero (19 wins) & Red Roosevelt (18 wins). Yet with a more than solid defense, potent offense and decent pitching staff Charleston couldn’t hold off Montgomery to win the division. Losing a young slugger like Raul Andujar is a blow to this organization and he will be missed. However there is plenty of talent left and Charleston should be in the hunt until the end.

Prediction: 90-72

Richmond Rebels (90-72)

The Rebels could not keep their division title and fell from 1st to 3rd in one season. So what would the best thing to do? Management feels it is to leave the tropical paradise in Puerto Rico and take up residence in Richmond. It is anticipated that the offense won’t be as strong but sluggers Geraldo Lee (58, 146, .269), Peter Dong (57, 114, .320), Corky Bowman (41, 78, .259) & Glenn Holdridge (40, 94, .296) will see how much they like southern hospitality. Cliff Gunderson (15 wins), Walker Jennings (14 wins) & Jeremy Weston (31 sv, 2.96) are happy to be rid of their previous home. The move to Richmond is a calculated risk that should produce either very positive or negative results. In the end the Rebels should be battling for a wildcard slot as the division title goes elsewhere.

Prediction: 88-74

Iowa City Screwballs (82-80)

Playing in the only division that had every team finish above .500 did little for team morale as Iowa City failed to escape last place. 50 HR man Matt Moseley led a strong team offense that made the most of their opportunities. Ron Perry (15-7, 3.51) & Darwin Green (33 sv) anchor the pitching staff that was hurt by inconsistent fielding. The loss of Rolando Canseco is a major blow to this teams hope to build on last seasons success. It appears the Balls will take a step back as they look for pitching help.

Prediction: 77-85


Honolulu Dashboard Hula Dolls (94-68)

Dropping 13 games from the win column would have been a devastating fall in most divisions however the distance between Honolulu and its division mates was substantial. Jeff Jennings (53, 181, .307) & Alvin Standridge (64, 159, .295) put up MVP numbers last season. Closer Norman Gordon (42 sv, 2.82), Russ Jerchower (17-10, 4.03) & Orlando Castilla (14-5, 4.09) put together good seasons in this hitters paradise. Unfortunately the 4th and 5th spot in the rotation became a black hole that ruined a season with high expectations. With little done to improve on last years team it is hoped that everyone will do a little more this season. That might not be possible but the division crown is the Dolls to lose.

Prediction: 88-74

Kansas City Masterpieces (75-87)

Bill Piper (37, 115, .301), Benny Alfonseca (33, 103, .293) & Gordon Hines (39, 98, .250) swing big bats in a place that isn’t easy to do. Pitching was this teams undoing last year with 3 starters carrying ERA’s over 5 and the teams closer putting up an ERA over 6. However management has added a couple of nice pieces and if Honolulu stumbles KC may have enough to take the division.

Prediction: 85-77

Vancouver Wananchi (58-104)

A move farther north has brought many more changes to a team that fell

from 2nd to last in the division. Many of last years top offensive weapons have moved on but this team is aggressively heading in the right direction. Much like the offense the pitching staff has moved in some new personnel however allowing Rafael Morales to depart was not in this team’s best interest. The team owner is hoping that moving to Salem will be a successful change but more will need to be done to enable them to catch Honolulu. The move to Vancouver will be more successful than their last relocation if the players that have been brought in perform as well as anticipated.

Prediction: 70-92

Boise Mashers (65-97)

Victor Sojo (51, 114, .239) supplies the power while Willie Fuentes (108 R, 62 SB, .272) runs wild. The problem is there is little else to talk about offensively for Boise. On the mound the hurlers didn’t fare much better with only one starter producing a sub 5 ERA and no one putting up more than 9 wins. The Mashers showed some improvement last season but will need to compensate for some departed players if they want to keep moving in the right direction. It is more likely that this team will stumble a bit as they try to regroup.

Prediction: 55-107